Value bet: Defensores De Belgrano to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceDefensores De Belgrano or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.34
Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes preview and prediction
The match
Defensores De Belgrano host Los Andes in the Primera Nacional on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Pasquale. Defensores De Belgrano are 15th with 39 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Los Andes sit 10th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Defensores De Belgrano's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Racing Cordoba 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Los Andes's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with San Telmo 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Defensores De Belgrano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.4 for Los Andes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensores De Belgrano 61%, draw 23%, Los Andes 16%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Defensores De Belgrano to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Los Andes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensores De Belgrano61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @2.95
Los Andes16%fair 6.17 · @4.60
1.71Expected goals
1.27Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.44Los Andes xG
44%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 1.3 – 0.4 Los Andes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores De Belgrano to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Defensores De Belgrano or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensores De Belgrano / FT Defensores De Belgrano✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.34
–
Form
Defensores De Belgrano – last 6
WLLDLD
4 Sep
vs Racing Cordoba
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Almirante Brown
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Atletico Mitre
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs CA Estudiantes
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Los Andes – last 6
DDLLLL
5 Sep
@ San Telmo
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Acassuso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Chaco For Ever
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Temperley
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Ferro Carril Oeste
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Central Norte
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores De Belgrano and Los Andes.
What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Los Andes 16%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Los Andes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
