Value bet: Midland to win @ 3.55 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColegiales to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Colegiales vs Midland preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Colegiales take on Midland on Thursday 3 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Colegiales. Colegiales are 7th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Midland sit 5th on 55 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Colegiales's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Deportivo Maipu 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Midland's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Nueva Chicago 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Colegiales and 0.9 for Midland. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Value angle: Midland to win at 3.55 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Colegiales 0–0 Midland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colegiales38%fair 2.61 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.75
Midland35%fair 2.88 · @3.55
1.92Expected goals
0.99Colegiales xG
0.93Midland xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.0 – 0.9 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
38%
2.61
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Colegiales – last 6
WDLDWW
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Maipu
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Almagro
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ San Miguel
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Patronato
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Midland – last 6
WLDDWD
29 Aug
vs Nueva Chicago
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Temperley
1–2
L
19 Aug
@ Banfield
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ Acassuso
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Deportivo Maipu
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Almagro
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Midland.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Colegiales vs Midland?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Midland 35%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Midland?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Midland?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 0–0 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Midland?
Colegiales vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
