Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: San Telmo to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAcassuso to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Acassuso vs San Telmo preview and prediction
The match
San Telmo travel to La Quema Stadium in the Primera Nacional on Wednesday 26 August (19:00 WAT) to face Acassuso. Acassuso are 17th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while San Telmo sit 12th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Acassuso's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Godoy Cruz 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Telmo's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Moron 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Acassuso and 0.9 for San Telmo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Acassuso 42%, draw 24%, San Telmo 34%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Value angle: San Telmo to win at 3.45 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Acassuso 1–0 San Telmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Acassuso42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.85
San Telmo34%fair 2.97 · @3.45
2.03Expected goals
1.10Acassuso xG
0.93San Telmo xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Acassuso 1.1 – 0.9 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Acassuso to win✗
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Acassuso / FT Acassuso✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.94
–
Form
Acassuso – last 6
LDLDDL
21 Aug
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Midland
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Moron
1–4
L
1 Aug
vs Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ San Miguel
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Racing Cordoba
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Telmo – last 6
DLLWLL
21 Aug
vs Deportivo Moron
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
9 Aug
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs San Miguel
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Chaco For Ever
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Acassuso and San Telmo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Acassuso vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Acassuso have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Telmo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs San Telmo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Acassuso vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Acassuso 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Acassuso vs San Telmo?
Acassuso vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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