Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Defensores De Belgrano to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceDefensores De Belgrano or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.96
Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo preview and prediction
The match
San Telmo travel to Estadio Juan Pasquale in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 30 May (19:30 WAT) to face Defensores De Belgrano. Defensores De Belgrano are 15th with 39 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while San Telmo sit 12th on 41 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensores De Belgrano's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Acassuso 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
San Telmo's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Moron 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Defensores De Belgrano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.5 for San Telmo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensores De Belgrano 59%, draw 26%, San Telmo 15%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Defensores De Belgrano to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 San Telmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensores De Belgrano59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
San Telmo15%fair 6.55 · @4.80
1.93Expected goals
1.40Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.54San Telmo xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 1.4 – 0.5 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores De Belgrano to win✓
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Defensores De Belgrano or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensores De Belgrano / FT Defensores De Belgrano✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.96
–
Form
Defensores De Belgrano – last 6
LDLLWD
24 May
@ Acassuso
0–1
L
18 May
vs Chaco For Ever
0–0
D
11 May
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Racing Cordoba
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Almirante Brown
2–0
W
30 Mar
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Telmo – last 3
LLD
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Quilmes
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores De Belgrano and San Telmo.
What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Telmo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?
Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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