San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Gimnasia Jujuy to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Tucuman host Gimnasia Jujuy in the Primera Nacional on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 01:10 (WAT) at Estadio La Ciudadela. San Martin Tucuman are 10th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Jujuy sit 4th on 58 points (in the top four).
Form guide
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Atletico DE Rafaela 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Jujuy's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Chaco For Ever 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for San Martin Tucuman and 1.0 for Gimnasia Jujuy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Tucuman 42%, draw 27%, Gimnasia Jujuy 32%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Gimnasia Jujuy to win at 3.75 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Gimnasia Jujuy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Tucuman42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.55
Gimnasia Jujuy32%fair 3.17 · @3.75
2.12Expected goals
1.16San Martin Tucuman xG
0.96Gimnasia Jujuy xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.2 – 1.0 Gimnasia Jujuy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✓
42%
2.38
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
San Martin Tucuman – last 5
WDDDD
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Patronato
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Jujuy – last 4
WLLW
28 Mar
@ Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Tristan Suarez
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Midland
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Gimnasia Jujuy.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia Jujuy 32%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Gimnasia Jujuy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 01:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
