Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Quilmes host Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional on Tuesday 5 May, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. Quilmes are 13th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Chacarita Juniors sit 14th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Quilmes's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat San Telmo 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chacarita Juniors's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Atlanta 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Quilmes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.2 for Quilmes and 0.7 for Chacarita Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Quilmes or draw – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Quilmes 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quilmes47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.88
Chacarita Juniors24%fair 4.18 · @3.70
1.82Expected goals
1.15Quilmes xG
0.67Chacarita Juniors xG
45%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–016%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.2 – 0.7 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-12%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.00
0.54
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✗
47%
2.14
2.10
Double chance
Quilmes or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quilmes / FT Quilmes✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
Quilmes – last 4
WWDL
29 Mar
@ San Telmo
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Patronato
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Midland
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 5
LLLWD
21 Apr
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs CA Estudiantes
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Agropecuario
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Quilmes or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Chacarita Juniors 24%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
