Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.28
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown preview and prediction
The match
Almirante Brown travel to Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry in the Primera Nacional on Tuesday 28 April (23:30 WAT) to face Ferro Carril Oeste. Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd with 66 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Almirante Brown sit 6th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Almirante Brown's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Defensores De Belgrano 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.4 for Almirante Brown. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ferro Carril Oeste 63%, draw 23%, Almirante Brown 14%.
Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ferro Carril Oeste to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Almirante Brown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferro Carril Oeste63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @2.85
Almirante Brown14%fair 7.10 · @4.75
1.74Expected goals
1.33Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.41Almirante Brown xG
41%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.3 – 0.4 Almirante Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win✗
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.28
–
Form
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 2
LD
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Almirante Brown – last 5
LLWWD
5 Apr
vs Defensores De Belgrano
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Almirante Brown.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
Our pick is Ferro Carril Oeste to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Almirante Brown 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Almirante Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
