Value bet: Defensores De Belgrano to win @ 3.45 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✗39% · @3.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Racing Cordoba vs Defensores De Belgrano preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Racing Cordoba take on Defensores De Belgrano on Monday 20 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Sancho. Racing Cordoba are 14th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Racing Cordoba's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Colon Santa Fe 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Defensores De Belgrano's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Almirante Brown 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Racing Cordoba and 0.9 for Defensores De Belgrano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Cordoba 33%, draw 28%, Defensores De Belgrano 39%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Defensores De Belgrano to win at 3.45 – 39% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Racing Cordoba 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Cordoba33%fair 3.03 · @2.33
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.62
Defensores De Belgrano39%fair 2.54 · @3.45
1.64Expected goals
0.76Racing Cordoba xG
0.88Defensores De Belgrano xG
47%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Racing Cordoba 0.8 – 0.9 Defensores De Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores De Belgrano to win✗
39%
2.54
3.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.88
–
Form
Racing Cordoba – last 3
LDW
12 Apr
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Almirante Brown
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Defensores De Belgrano – last 3
WDD
5 Apr
@ Almirante Brown
2–0
W
30 Mar
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Cordoba and Defensores De Belgrano.
What is the prediction for Racing Cordoba vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Racing Cordoba vs Defensores De Belgrano?
On our numbers Racing Cordoba have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Defensores De Belgrano 39%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Cordoba vs Defensores De Belgrano?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Cordoba vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Racing Cordoba 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Racing Cordoba vs Defensores De Belgrano?
Racing Cordoba vs Defensores De Belgrano (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Sancho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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