Double chanceAtletico DE Rafaela or draw ✗76% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.53
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Club Atlético Güemes preview and prediction
The match
Atletico DE Rafaela host Club Atlético Güemes in the Primera Nacional on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico DE Rafaela's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Defensores De Belgrano 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Club Atlético Güemes's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Atletico Mitre 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atletico DE Rafaela arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.1 for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.7 for Club Atlético Güemes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico DE Rafaela 48%, draw 28%, Club Atlético Güemes 24%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico DE Rafaela48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.40
Club Atlético Güemes24%fair 4.17 · @4.75
1.85Expected goals
1.15Atletico DE Rafaela xG
0.70Club Atlético Güemes xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 1.1 – 0.7 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico DE Rafaela to win✗
48%
2.08
2.10
Double chance
Atletico DE Rafaela or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico DE Rafaela / FT Atletico DE Rafaela✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.53
–
Form
Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6
DLWWLD
30 Mar
@ Defensores De Belgrano
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Temperley
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Maipu
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Almagro
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 3
DLL
29 Mar
vs Atletico Mitre
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico DE Rafaela and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Club Atlético Güemes 24%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
