Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceAtlanta or draw ✗88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.29
Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Atlanta take on Nueva Chicago on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Nueva Chicago sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlanta's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Instituto Cordoba 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nueva Chicago's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with All Boys 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nueva Chicago arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Atlanta and 0.4 for Nueva Chicago. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 62%, draw 26%, Nueva Chicago 12%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlanta to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta62%fair 1.61 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.65
Nueva Chicago12%fair 8.52 · @5.10
1.77Expected goals
1.36Atlanta xG
0.40Nueva Chicago xG
42%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.4 – 0.4 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win✗
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Atlanta or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.29
–
Form
Atlanta – last 5
LWDLW
2 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Nueva Chicago – last 4
DWWW
29 Mar
vs All Boys
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Agropecuario
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Atlético Güemes
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Nueva Chicago.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?
Our pick is Atlanta to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nueva Chicago 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?
Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
