Value bet: Queretaro U21 to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultQueretaro U21 to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.98
Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX U21 sees Queretaro U21 take on Cruz Azul U21 on Tuesday 21 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Queretaro U21 are 18th with 12 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Cruz Azul U21 sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cruz Azul U21's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Mazatlan FC U21 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Queretaro U21 and 1.1 for Cruz Azul U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Queretaro U21 to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Queretaro U21 1–1 Cruz Azul U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Queretaro U2144%fair 2.27 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Cruz Azul U2134%fair 2.94 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.35Queretaro U21 xG
1.14Cruz Azul U21 xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Queretaro U21 1.4 – 1.1 Cruz Azul U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Queretaro U21 to win✗
44%
2.27
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Queretaro U21 / FT Queretaro U21✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
Queretaro U21 – last 2
WL
17 Apr
@ Mazatlan FC U21
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Santos Laguna U21
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul U21 – last 3
LWW
20 Mar
@ Mazatlan FC U21
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Santos Laguna U21
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Tigres UANL U21
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Queretaro U21 and Cruz Azul U21.
What is the prediction for Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
On our numbers Queretaro U21 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruz Azul U21 34%.
How many goals will there be in Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our predicted score is Queretaro U21 1–1 Cruz Azul U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
