União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23 prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: União Leiria U23 to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRio Ave U23 to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Revelação U23 sees União Leiria U23 take on Rio Ave U23 on Tuesday 28 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). União Leiria U23 are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Rio Ave U23 sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
União Leiria U23's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Vizela U23 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rio Ave U23's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Portimonense U23 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Rio Ave U23 2–0 União Leiria U23.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for União Leiria U23 and 1.6 for Rio Ave U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: União Leiria U23 to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: União Leiria U23 1–1 Rio Ave U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Leiria U2335%fair 2.82 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.55
Rio Ave U2344%fair 2.26 · @2.05
2.92Expected goals
1.36União Leiria U23 xG
1.56Rio Ave U23 xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: União Leiria U23 1.4 – 1.6 Rio Ave U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
On our numbers União Leiria U23 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rio Ave U23 44%.
How many goals will there be in União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
Our predicted score is União Leiria U23 1–1 Rio Ave U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23?
União Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
