Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Farense U23 to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarense U23 to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceFarense U23 or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.06
Farense U23 vs Estoril U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Revelação U23 sees Farense U23 take on Estoril U23 on Tuesday 21 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Farense U23 are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Estoril U23 sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Farense U23's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Marítimo U23 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Estoril U23's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Rio Ave U23 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Estoril U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Estoril U23 1–0 Farense U23.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Farense U23 and 0.9 for Estoril U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Farense U23 to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Farense U23 or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Farense U23 1–0 Estoril U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farense U2356%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Estoril U2320%fair 4.88 · @3.70
2.62Expected goals
1.70Farense U23 xG
0.92Estoril U23 xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Farense U23 1.7 – 0.9 Estoril U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?
Our pick is Farense U23 or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?
On our numbers Farense U23 have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estoril U23 20%.
How many goals will there be in Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?
Our predicted score is Farense U23 1–0 Estoril U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?
Farense U23 vs Estoril U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
