Value bet: Farense U23 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarense U23 to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Revelação U23 sees Marítimo U23 take on Farense U23 on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Marítimo U23 are 20th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Farense U23 sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Marítimo U23's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Rio Ave U23 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Farense U23's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Estrela U23 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marítimo U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Marítimo U23 and 1.8 for Farense U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Farense U23 to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Marítimo U23 0–2 Farense U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marítimo U2321%fair 4.80 · @3.35
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @3.60
Farense U2363%fair 1.59 · @1.91
2.72Expected goals
0.89Marítimo U23 xG
1.83Farense U23 xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Marítimo U23 0.9 – 1.8 Farense U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense U23 to win✓
63%
1.59
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Farense U23 ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farense U23 / FT Farense U23✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Marítimo U23 – last 6
LDWWLW
8 Apr
@ Rio Ave U23
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Vizela U23
2–2
D
18 Mar
@ União Leiria U23
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs Portimonense U23
2–1
W
5 Mar
vs Estoril U23
1–2
L
19 Feb
@ Estrela U23
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Farense U23 – last 6
WLDLLD
8 Apr
vs Estrela U23
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Gil Vicente U23
2–3
L
24 Mar
@ União Leiria U23
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Estoril U23
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Rio Ave U23
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Vizela U23
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marítimo U23 and Farense U23.
What is the prediction for Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
On our numbers Marítimo U23 have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Farense U23 63%.
How many goals will there be in Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
Our predicted score is Marítimo U23 0–2 Farense U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23?
Marítimo U23 vs Farense U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
