Value bet: Estrela U23 to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarense U23 to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.39
Farense U23 vs Estrela U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Revelação U23 sees Farense U23 take on Estrela U23 on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Farense U23 are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Estrela U23 sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Farense U23's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Gil Vicente U23 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Estrela U23's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Rio Ave U23 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Farense U23 and 1.2 for Estrela U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Estrela U23 to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Farense U23 1–1 Estrela U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farense U2343%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Estrela U2335%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.54Expected goals
1.36Farense U23 xG
1.19Estrela U23 xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Farense U23 1.4 – 1.2 Estrela U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense U23 to win✓
43%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farense U23 / FT Farense U23✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.39
–
Form
Farense U23 – last 6
LDLLDW
3 Apr
@ Gil Vicente U23
2–3
L
24 Mar
@ União Leiria U23
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Estoril U23
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Rio Ave U23
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Vizela U23
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs União Leiria U23
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Estrela U23 – last 6
WDLDDL
29 Mar
vs Rio Ave U23
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Vizela U23
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs União Leiria U23
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Portimonense U23
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Estoril U23
0–0
D
19 Feb
vs Marítimo U23
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Farense U23 and Estrela U23.
What is the prediction for Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?
On our numbers Farense U23 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estrela U23 35%.
How many goals will there be in Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?
Our predicted score is Farense U23 1–1 Estrela U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Farense U23 vs Estrela U23?
Farense U23 vs Estrela U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
