Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23 preview and prediction
The match
Estrela U23 host União Leiria U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Monday 9 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Estrela U23 are 19th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while União Leiria U23 sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Estrela U23's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Portimonense U23 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
União Leiria U23's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Gil Vicente U23 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Estrela U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Estrela U23 and 0.9 for União Leiria U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Estrela U23 1–1 União Leiria U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrela U2359%fair 1.69 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
União Leiria U2319%fair 5.15 · @3.90
2.74Expected goals
1.82Estrela U23 xG
0.92União Leiria U23 xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Estrela U23 1.8 – 0.9 União Leiria U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrela U23 to win✗
59%
1.69
1.77
Double chance
Estrela U23 or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Estrela U23 ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrela U23 / FT Estrela U23✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.49
–
Form
Estrela U23 – last 3
DDL
3 Mar
@ Portimonense U23
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Estoril U23
0–0
D
19 Feb
vs Marítimo U23
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
União Leiria U23 – last 4
LLLL
3 Mar
vs Gil Vicente U23
2–3
L
24 Feb
@ Farense U23
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Rio Ave U23
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Portimonense U23
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela U23 and União Leiria U23.
What is the prediction for Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
On our numbers Estrela U23 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and União Leiria U23 19%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our predicted score is Estrela U23 1–1 União Leiria U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
