Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23 prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Portimonense U23 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Portimonense U23 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortimonense U23 to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chancePortimonense U23 or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23 preview and prediction
The match
Portimonense U23 host União Leiria U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Friday 13 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Portimonense U23 are 17th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while União Leiria U23 sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Portimonense U23 and 0.8 for União Leiria U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Portimonense U23 or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Portimonense U23 to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portimonense U23 or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Portimonense U23 1–0 União Leiria U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portimonense U2363%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.35
União Leiria U2316%fair 6.33 · @3.60
2.60Expected goals
1.83Portimonense U23 xG
0.77União Leiria U23 xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Portimonense U23 1.8 – 0.8 União Leiria U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portimonense U23 to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Portimonense U23 or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Portimonense U23 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portimonense U23 / FT Portimonense U23✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Portimonense U23
No recent results on record.
União Leiria U23
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense U23 and União Leiria U23.
What is the prediction for Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our pick is Portimonense U23 or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23?
On our numbers Portimonense U23 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and União Leiria U23 16%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our predicted score is Portimonense U23 1–0 União Leiria U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Portimonense U23 vs União Leiria U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
