Value bet: Farense U23 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarense U23 to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.25
União Leiria U23 vs Farense U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Revelação U23 sees União Leiria U23 take on Farense U23 on Tuesday 24 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). União Leiria U23 are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Farense U23 sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
União Leiria U23's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Marítimo U23 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Farense U23's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Estoril U23 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Farense U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 February 2026, finished Farense U23 1–0 União Leiria U23.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for União Leiria U23 and 1.8 for Farense U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Farense U23 to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: União Leiria U23 1–1 Farense U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Leiria U2321%fair 4.86 · @3.45
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.50
Farense U2360%fair 1.66 · @1.91
2.69Expected goals
0.90União Leiria U23 xG
1.79Farense U23 xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: União Leiria U23 0.9 – 1.8 Farense U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for União Leiria U23 vs Farense U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win União Leiria U23 vs Farense U23?
On our numbers União Leiria U23 have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Farense U23 60%.
How many goals will there be in União Leiria U23 vs Farense U23?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Leiria U23 vs Farense U23?
Our predicted score is União Leiria U23 1–1 Farense U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is União Leiria U23 vs Farense U23?
União Leiria U23 vs Farense U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
