Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kom to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKom to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceKom or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Kom vs Lovćen preview and prediction
The match
Kom host Lovćen in the Second League on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Kom are 3rd with 27 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Lovćen sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Kom's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to Grbalj 2–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lovćen's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Berane 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Lovćen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Kom and 0.7 for Lovćen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kom 63%, draw 22%, Lovćen 14%.
Safer route: Kom or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Kom to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kom or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kom 1–0 Lovćen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kom63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Lovćen14%fair 6.95 · @3.60
2.48Expected goals
1.78Kom xG
0.71Lovćen xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Kom 1.8 – 0.7 Lovćen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kom to win✗
63%
1.58
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Kom or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Kom ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kom / FT Kom✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.74
–
Form
Kom – last 4
LDWL
22 Mar
@ Grbalj
2–4
L
18 Mar
vs Berane
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Rudar
4–0
W
4 Mar
@ Mladost Lješkopolje
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lovćen – last 4
DWWL
22 Mar
@ Berane
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Rudar
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Otrant-Olympic
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ Grbalj
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kom and Lovćen.
Our pick is Kom or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kom vs Lovćen?
On our numbers Kom have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lovćen 14%.
How many goals will there be in Kom vs Lovćen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kom vs Lovćen?
Our predicted score is Kom 1–0 Lovćen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kom vs Lovćen?
Kom vs Lovćen (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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