Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOstersunds FK to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceOstersunds FK or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Ostersunds FK vs IK brage preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees Ostersunds FK take on IK brage on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Jamtkraft Arena. Ostersunds FK are 4th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top four), while IK brage sit 15th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ostersunds FK's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Orebro SK 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IK brage's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to GIF Sundsvall 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ostersunds FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished IK brage 2–4 Ostersunds FK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Ostersunds FK and 0.8 for IK brage. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ostersunds FK 63%, draw 25%, IK brage 12%.
Safer route: Ostersunds FK or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ostersunds FK to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ostersunds FK 2–0 IK brage. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ostersunds FK63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.80
IK brage12%fair 8.29 · @4.60
2.88Expected goals
2.04Ostersunds FK xG
0.84IK brage xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ostersunds FK 2.0 – 0.8 IK brage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ostersunds FK vs IK brage?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ostersunds FK vs IK brage?
On our numbers Ostersunds FK have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and IK brage 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ostersunds FK vs IK brage?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostersunds FK vs IK brage?
Our predicted score is Ostersunds FK 2–0 IK brage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ostersunds FK vs IK brage?
Ostersunds FK vs IK brage (Superettan) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Jamtkraft Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
