Value bet: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarbergs BoIS FC to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC preview and prediction
The match
Varbergs BoIS FC travel to Behrn Arena in the Superettan on Tuesday 25 August (18:00 WAT) to face Orebro SK. Orebro SK are 13th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orebro SK's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Sollentuna 4–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Varbergs BoIS FC's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Böljan 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Varbergs BoIS FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Orebro SK and 1.5 for Varbergs BoIS FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orebro SK 35%, draw 21%, Varbergs BoIS FC 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Varbergs BoIS FC to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Orebro SK 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orebro SK35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Varbergs BoIS FC44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
2.77Expected goals
1.28Orebro SK xG
1.49Varbergs BoIS FC xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Orebro SK 1.3 – 1.5 Varbergs BoIS FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varbergs BoIS FC to win✗
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varbergs BoIS FC / FT Varbergs BoIS FC✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Form
Orebro SK – last 6
WDLLDL
18 Aug
@ Sollentuna
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ IK brage
3–3
D
10 Aug
@ Norrby IF
1–3
L
3 Aug
vs IFK Varnamo
1–3
L
27 Jul
vs Oddevold
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ United Nordic
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Varbergs BoIS FC – last 6
WDLWLW
18 Aug
@ Böljan
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ United Nordic
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Sandviken
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Falkenbergs FF
2–1
W
27 Jul
@ Osters IF
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Oddevold
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orebro SK and Varbergs BoIS FC.
What is the prediction for Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
On our numbers Orebro SK have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Varbergs BoIS FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our predicted score is Orebro SK 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC (Superettan) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Behrn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
