Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOstersunds FK to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees IFK Varnamo take on Ostersunds FK on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Finnvedsvallen. IFK Varnamo are 11th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Ostersunds FK sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IFK Varnamo's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Helsingborg 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ostersunds FK's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat GIF Sundsvall 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ostersunds FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Ostersunds FK 3–2 IFK Varnamo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for IFK Varnamo and 1.5 for Ostersunds FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IFK Varnamo 36%, draw 21%, Ostersunds FK 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Ostersunds FK to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: IFK Varnamo 1–1 Ostersunds FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Varnamo36%fair 2.81 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Ostersunds FK44%fair 2.29 · @2.55
2.88Expected goals
1.35IFK Varnamo xG
1.53Ostersunds FK xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: IFK Varnamo 1.3 – 1.5 Ostersunds FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?
On our numbers IFK Varnamo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ostersunds FK 44%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?
Our predicted score is IFK Varnamo 1–1 Ostersunds FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?
IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Finnvedsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
