Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Falkenbergs FF to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFalkenbergs FF to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceFalkenbergs FF or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF preview and prediction
The match
Falkenbergs FF host Norrby IF in the Superettan on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena. Falkenbergs FF are 2nd with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Norrby IF sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Falkenbergs FF's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with United Nordic 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Norrby IF's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Orebro SK 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Norrby IF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Norrby IF 2–2 Falkenbergs FF.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Falkenbergs FF and 0.9 for Norrby IF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Falkenbergs FF 63%, draw 22%, Norrby IF 16%.
Safer route: Falkenbergs FF or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Falkenbergs FF to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Falkenbergs FF or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Norrby IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Falkenbergs FF63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.80
Norrby IF16%fair 6.42 · @3.80
3.02Expected goals
2.07Falkenbergs FF xG
0.94Norrby IF xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Falkenbergs FF 2.1 – 0.9 Norrby IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Our pick is Falkenbergs FF or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
On our numbers Falkenbergs FF have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norrby IF 16%.
How many goals will there be in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Our predicted score is Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Norrby IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF (Superettan) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
