Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: IFK Varnamo to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHelsingborg to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo preview and prediction
The match
Helsingborg host IFK Varnamo in the Superettan on Tuesday 11 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Olympia. Helsingborg are 12th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while IFK Varnamo sit 11th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Helsingborg's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to IFK Norrkoping 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
IFK Varnamo's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Orebro SK 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Helsingborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 June 2026, finished IFK Varnamo 0–1 Helsingborg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Helsingborg and 1.5 for IFK Varnamo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: IFK Varnamo to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Helsingborg 1–1 IFK Varnamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Helsingborg45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
IFK Varnamo35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
3.25Expected goals
1.75Helsingborg xG
1.50IFK Varnamo xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Helsingborg 1.7 – 1.5 IFK Varnamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo?
On our numbers Helsingborg have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and IFK Varnamo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo?
Our predicted score is Helsingborg 1–1 IFK Varnamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo?
Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo (Superettan) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
