Value bet: Ljungskile SK to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLjungskile SK to win ✓45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK preview and prediction
The match
IFK Varnamo host Ljungskile SK in the Superettan on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Finnvedsvallen. IFK Varnamo are 11th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Ljungskile SK sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
IFK Varnamo's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Naestved 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Ljungskile SK's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Orebro SK 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ljungskile SK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for IFK Varnamo and 1.6 for Ljungskile SK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IFK Varnamo 34%, draw 21%, Ljungskile SK 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Ljungskile SK to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: IFK Varnamo 1–1 Ljungskile SK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Varnamo34%fair 2.90 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Ljungskile SK45%fair 2.22 · @2.55
2.90Expected goals
1.33IFK Varnamo xG
1.57Ljungskile SK xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: IFK Varnamo 1.3 – 1.6 Ljungskile SK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ljungskile SK to win✓
45%
2.22
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ljungskile SK / FT Ljungskile SK✓
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
IFK Varnamo – last 6
LLLLLL
13 Jul
vs Naestved
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Landskrona BoIS
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ IK brage
1–5
L
16 Jun
vs Helsingborg
0–1
L
9 Jun
@ Osters IF
0–3
L
31 May
vs United Nordic
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ljungskile SK – last 6
WDDDLL
27 Jun
vs Orebro SK
3–2
W
22 Jun
@ Oddevold
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Ostersunds FK
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ IK brage
2–2
D
30 May
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
1–3
L
23 May
@ Norrby IF
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Varnamo and Ljungskile SK.
What is the prediction for IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK?
On our numbers IFK Varnamo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ljungskile SK 45%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK?
Our predicted score is IFK Varnamo 1–1 Ljungskile SK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK?
IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Finnvedsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
