Value bet: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees IFK Norrkoping take on Varbergs BoIS FC on Monday 15 June, kicking off at 18:05 (WAT) at Norrkopings Idrottspark. IFK Norrkoping are 1st with 68 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IFK Norrkoping's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Oddevold 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Varbergs BoIS FC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Norrby IF 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Varbergs BoIS FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for IFK Norrkoping and 1.3 for Varbergs BoIS FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IFK Norrkoping 45%, draw 21%, Varbergs BoIS FC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Varbergs BoIS FC to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: IFK Norrkoping 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Norrkoping45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Varbergs BoIS FC35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.86Expected goals
1.54IFK Norrkoping xG
1.32Varbergs BoIS FC xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: IFK Norrkoping 1.5 – 1.3 Varbergs BoIS FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win✓
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Form
IFK Norrkoping – last 6
WWWDLL
9 Jun
@ Oddevold
2–1
W
31 May
@ Helsingborg
2–0
W
25 May
vs Osters IF
2–0
W
13 May
vs United Nordic
1–1
D
5 May
@ Falkenbergs FF
0–1
L
28 Apr
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Varbergs BoIS FC – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Jun
vs Norrby IF
2–0
W
30 May
@ Ljungskile SK
3–1
W
24 May
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–0
W
19 May
@ Helsingborg
3–1
W
13 May
@ Falkenbergs FF
3–0
W
8 May
vs IFK Varnamo
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Norrkoping and Varbergs BoIS FC.
What is the prediction for IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
On our numbers IFK Norrkoping have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Varbergs BoIS FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our predicted score is IFK Norrkoping 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC (Superettan) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 18:05 (West Africa Time) at Norrkopings Idrottspark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
