Value bet: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarbergs BoIS FC to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceVarbergs BoIS FC or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.56
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees Varbergs BoIS FC take on Norrby IF on Wednesday 10 June, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Paskbergsvallen. Varbergs BoIS FC are 3rd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Norrby IF sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Varbergs BoIS FC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ljungskile SK 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Norrby IF's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Osters IF 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Varbergs BoIS FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Varbergs BoIS FC and 0.8 for Norrby IF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Varbergs BoIS FC 65%, draw 24%, Norrby IF 11%.
Safer route: Varbergs BoIS FC or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Varbergs BoIS FC to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Varbergs BoIS FC 2–0 Norrby IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varbergs BoIS FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.80
Norrby IF11%fair 9.23 · @4.60
2.98Expected goals
2.15Varbergs BoIS FC xG
0.84Norrby IF xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Varbergs BoIS FC 2.1 – 0.8 Norrby IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varbergs BoIS FC to win✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Varbergs BoIS FC or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.18 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Half-time result
Varbergs BoIS FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varbergs BoIS FC / FT Varbergs BoIS FC✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.56
–
Form
Varbergs BoIS FC – last 6
WWWWWD
30 May
@ Ljungskile SK
3–1
W
24 May
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–0
W
19 May
@ Helsingborg
3–1
W
13 May
@ Falkenbergs FF
3–0
W
8 May
vs IFK Varnamo
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ IK brage
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Norrby IF – last 6
LWDDDL
30 May
@ Osters IF
1–2
L
23 May
vs Ljungskile SK
2–1
W
17 May
@ IFK Varnamo
2–2
D
12 May
@ Landskrona BoIS
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Falkenbergs FF
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs IK brage
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varbergs BoIS FC and Norrby IF.
What is the prediction for Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF?
On our numbers Varbergs BoIS FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Norrby IF 11%.
How many goals will there be in Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF?
Our predicted score is Varbergs BoIS FC 2–0 Norrby IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF?
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF (Superettan) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Paskbergsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
