Value bet: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarbergs BoIS FC to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees Ljungskile SK take on Varbergs BoIS FC on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Skarsjövallen. Ljungskile SK are 10th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ljungskile SK's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Norrby IF 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Varbergs BoIS FC's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat GIF Sundsvall 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Ljungskile SK and 1.5 for Varbergs BoIS FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ljungskile SK 35%, draw 21%, Varbergs BoIS FC 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Varbergs BoIS FC to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ljungskile SK 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ljungskile SK35%fair 2.86 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.45
Varbergs BoIS FC44%fair 2.26 · @2.55
2.77Expected goals
1.28Ljungskile SK xG
1.49Varbergs BoIS FC xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ljungskile SK 1.3 – 1.5 Varbergs BoIS FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varbergs BoIS FC to win✓
44%
2.26
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varbergs BoIS FC / FT Varbergs BoIS FC✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Form
Ljungskile SK – last 6
LWWLWD
23 May
@ Norrby IF
1–2
L
17 May
@ Osters IF
4–1
W
14 May
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–0
W
2 May
vs United Nordic
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Helsingborg
4–1
W
6 Apr
@ Falkenbergs FF
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Varbergs BoIS FC – last 6
WWWWDL
24 May
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–0
W
19 May
@ Helsingborg
3–1
W
13 May
@ Falkenbergs FF
3–0
W
8 May
vs IFK Varnamo
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ IK brage
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Ostersunds FK
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ljungskile SK and Varbergs BoIS FC.
What is the prediction for Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
On our numbers Ljungskile SK have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Varbergs BoIS FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our predicted score is Ljungskile SK 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC (Superettan) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Skarsjövallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
