Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: IFK Varnamo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Varnamo to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceIFK Varnamo or draw ✗80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
IFK Varnamo vs Orebro SK preview and prediction
The match
IFK Varnamo host Orebro SK in the Superettan on Tuesday 12 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Finnvedsvallen. IFK Varnamo are 11th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Orebro SK sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
IFK Varnamo's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Varbergs BoIS FC 2–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Orebro SK's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to IK brage 0–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for IFK Varnamo and 1.0 for Orebro SK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IFK Varnamo 56%, draw 24%, Orebro SK 20%.
Safer route: IFK Varnamo or draw (80%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: IFK Varnamo to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IFK Varnamo or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: IFK Varnamo 1–0 Orebro SK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Varnamo56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
Orebro SK20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
2.77Expected goals
1.78IFK Varnamo xG
0.98Orebro SK xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: IFK Varnamo 1.8 – 1.0 Orebro SK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Varnamo to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
IFK Varnamo or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Half-time result
IFK Varnamo ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Varnamo / FT IFK Varnamo✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
IFK Varnamo – last 6
LLWWLL
8 May
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–3
L
3 May
@ Ostersunds FK
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Oddevold
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs GIF Sundsvall
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ IFK Norrkoping
0–6
L
7 Mar
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Orebro SK – last 6
LWWLLD
8 May
vs IK brage
0–3
L
21 Apr
vs IFK Norrkoping
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ IK brage
1–2
L
2 Mar
vs Hammarby FF
3–5
L
21 Feb
@ Osters IF
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Varnamo and Orebro SK.
What is the prediction for IFK Varnamo vs Orebro SK?
Our pick is IFK Varnamo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Orebro SK?
On our numbers IFK Varnamo have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orebro SK 20%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Varnamo vs Orebro SK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Varnamo vs Orebro SK?
Our predicted score is IFK Varnamo 1–0 Orebro SK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is IFK Varnamo vs Orebro SK?
IFK Varnamo vs Orebro SK (Superettan) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Finnvedsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
