Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIK brage to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
IK brage vs Ostersunds FK preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees IK brage take on Ostersunds FK on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Domnarvsvallen. IK brage are 15th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Ostersunds FK sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IK brage's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Orebro SK 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ostersunds FK's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Falkenbergs FF 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for IK brage and 1.4 for Ostersunds FK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IK brage 40%, draw 24%, Ostersunds FK 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Ostersunds FK to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: IK brage 1–1 Ostersunds FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IK brage40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.35
Ostersunds FK36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.92Expected goals
1.50IK brage xG
1.42Ostersunds FK xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: IK brage 1.5 – 1.4 Ostersunds FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IK brage to win✗
40%
2.49
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IK brage / FT IK brage✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
IK brage – last 6
WLDWWW
8 May
@ Orebro SK
3–0
W
3 May
@ Helsingborg
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
2–2
D
20 Apr
@ GIF Sundsvall
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Norrby IF
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ IF Brommapojkarna
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ostersunds FK – last 6
DWLWLW
9 May
vs Falkenbergs FF
2–2
D
3 May
vs IFK Varnamo
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Helsingborg
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IK brage and Ostersunds FK.
What is the prediction for IK brage vs Ostersunds FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win IK brage vs Ostersunds FK?
On our numbers IK brage have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ostersunds FK 36%.
How many goals will there be in IK brage vs Ostersunds FK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IK brage vs Ostersunds FK?
Our predicted score is IK brage 1–1 Ostersunds FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is IK brage vs Ostersunds FK?
IK brage vs Ostersunds FK (Superettan) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Domnarvsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
