Value bet: Falkenbergs FF to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOstersunds FK to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.82
Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF preview and prediction
The match
Ostersunds FK host Falkenbergs FF in the Superettan on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Jamtkraft Arena. Ostersunds FK are 4th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Falkenbergs FF sit 2nd on 54 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ostersunds FK's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat IFK Varnamo 3–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Falkenbergs FF's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat IFK Norrkoping 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Ostersunds FK and 1.2 for Falkenbergs FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ostersunds FK 44%, draw 21%, Falkenbergs FF 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Falkenbergs FF to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ostersunds FK 1–1 Falkenbergs FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ostersunds FK44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Falkenbergs FF35%fair 2.86 · @3.30
2.63Expected goals
1.42Ostersunds FK xG
1.22Falkenbergs FF xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ostersunds FK 1.4 – 1.2 Falkenbergs FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostersunds FK to win✗
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostersunds FK / FT Ostersunds FK✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
Ostersunds FK – last 6
WLWLWD
3 May
vs IFK Varnamo
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Helsingborg
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Falkenbergs FF – last 6
WDDWDL
5 May
vs IFK Norrkoping
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Norrby IF
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Ljungskile SK
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
3 Mar
@ Landskrona BoIS
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ IF Brommapojkarna
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostersunds FK and Falkenbergs FF.
What is the prediction for Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF?
On our numbers Ostersunds FK have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Falkenbergs FF 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF?
Our predicted score is Ostersunds FK 1–1 Falkenbergs FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF?
Ostersunds FK vs Falkenbergs FF (Superettan) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Jamtkraft Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
