Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo preview and prediction
The match
IFK Varnamo travel to Jamtkraft Arena in the Superettan on Sunday 3 May (12:00 WAT) to face Ostersunds FK. Ostersunds FK are 4th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top four), while IFK Varnamo sit 11th on 35 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ostersunds FK's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Helsingborg 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
IFK Varnamo's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Oddevold 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Ostersunds FK and 1.4 for IFK Varnamo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ostersunds FK 37%, draw 23%, IFK Varnamo 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ostersunds FK 1–1 IFK Varnamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ostersunds FK37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
IFK Varnamo40%fair 2.51 · @2.40
2.77Expected goals
1.36Ostersunds FK xG
1.42IFK Varnamo xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ostersunds FK 1.4 – 1.4 IFK Varnamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Varnamo to win✗
40%
2.51
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Varnamo / FT IFK Varnamo✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Ostersunds FK – last 6
LWLWDL
19 Apr
@ Helsingborg
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
IFK Varnamo – last 6
WWLLLD
26 Apr
vs Oddevold
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs GIF Sundsvall
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ IFK Norrkoping
0–6
L
7 Mar
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Orgryte IS
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostersunds FK and IFK Varnamo.
What is the prediction for Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
On our numbers Ostersunds FK have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IFK Varnamo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
Our predicted score is Ostersunds FK 1–1 IFK Varnamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Jamtkraft Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
