Value bet: IFK Norrkoping to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win ✗52% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping preview and prediction
The match
IFK Norrkoping travel to Behrn Arena in the Superettan on Tuesday 21 April (18:00 WAT) to face Orebro SK. Orebro SK are 13th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while IFK Norrkoping sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orebro SK's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Landskrona BoIS 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
IFK Norrkoping's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat IFK Varnamo 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IFK Norrkoping arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Orebro SK and 1.5 for IFK Norrkoping. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orebro SK 28%, draw 20%, IFK Norrkoping 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.50.
Value angle: IFK Norrkoping to win at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orebro SK 1–1 IFK Norrkoping. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orebro SK28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
IFK Norrkoping52%fair 1.93 · @2.15
2.52Expected goals
1.01Orebro SK xG
1.52IFK Norrkoping xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Orebro SK 1.0 – 1.5 IFK Norrkoping expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win✗
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.22
–
Form
Orebro SK – last 4
WLLD
6 Apr
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ IK brage
1–2
L
2 Mar
vs Hammarby FF
3–5
L
21 Feb
@ Osters IF
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
IFK Norrkoping – last 3
WLW
4 Apr
vs IFK Varnamo
6–0
W
27 Mar
@ Degerfors IF
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sandviken
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orebro SK and IFK Norrkoping.
What is the prediction for Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
On our numbers Orebro SK have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 20% and IFK Norrkoping 52%.
How many goals will there be in Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our predicted score is Orebro SK 1–1 IFK Norrkoping, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping (Superettan) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Behrn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
