IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
IFK Varnamo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Varnamo to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceIFK Varnamo or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall preview and prediction
The match
GIF Sundsvall travel to Finnvedsvallen in the Superettan on Tuesday 14 April (18:00 WAT) to face IFK Varnamo. IFK Varnamo are 11th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while GIF Sundsvall sit 16th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IFK Varnamo's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to IFK Norrkoping 0–6 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 2.8 conceded.
GIF Sundsvall's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat United Nordic 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
GIF Sundsvall arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.9 for IFK Varnamo and 1.4 for GIF Sundsvall. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.50 – 50% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IFK Varnamo or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: IFK Varnamo 2–1 GIF Sundsvall. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Varnamo65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
GIF Sundsvall14%fair 7.35 · @4.10
4.30Expected goals
2.88IFK Varnamo xG
1.42GIF Sundsvall xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
2–06%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: IFK Varnamo 2.9 – 1.4 GIF Sundsvall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Varnamo to win✓
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
IFK Varnamo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.55 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
2.50 ▲
Half-time result
IFK Varnamo ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Varnamo / FT IFK Varnamo✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Form
IFK Varnamo – last 5
LLLDW
4 Apr
@ IFK Norrkoping
0–6
L
7 Mar
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Orgryte IS
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Landskrona BoIS
4–2
W
1.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
GIF Sundsvall – last 6
WWWDLW
6 Apr
vs United Nordic
3–2
W
28 Mar
vs Hammarby Talang
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ VPS
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Helsingborg
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Sirius
0–6
L
15 Feb
@ Ostersunds FK
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Varnamo and GIF Sundsvall.
What is the prediction for IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall?
Our pick is IFK Varnamo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall?
On our numbers IFK Varnamo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and GIF Sundsvall 14%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall?
Our predicted score is IFK Varnamo 2–1 GIF Sundsvall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall?
IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall (Superettan) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Finnvedsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
