Value bet: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarbergs BoIS FC to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees Varbergs BoIS FC take on Ostersunds FK on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Paskbergsvallen. Varbergs BoIS FC are 3rd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Ostersunds FK sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Varbergs BoIS FC's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Gais 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ostersunds FK's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Vasteras SK FK 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Varbergs BoIS FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Varbergs BoIS FC and 1.0 for Ostersunds FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Varbergs BoIS FC 48%, draw 24%, Ostersunds FK 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Varbergs BoIS FC to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Varbergs BoIS FC 1–1 Ostersunds FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varbergs BoIS FC48%fair 2.07 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.00
Ostersunds FK28%fair 3.56 · @3.30
2.49Expected goals
1.46Varbergs BoIS FC xG
1.03Ostersunds FK xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Varbergs BoIS FC 1.5 – 1.0 Ostersunds FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varbergs BoIS FC to win✗
48%
2.07
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varbergs BoIS FC / FT Varbergs BoIS FC✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Varbergs BoIS FC – last 5
WWLLW
10 Mar
@ Gais
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs IF Karlstad
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Halmstad
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Malmo FF
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Angelholms FF
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Ostersunds FK – last 4
LWDL
15 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varbergs BoIS FC and Ostersunds FK.
What is the prediction for Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK?
On our numbers Varbergs BoIS FC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ostersunds FK 28%.
How many goals will there be in Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK?
Our predicted score is Varbergs BoIS FC 1–1 Ostersunds FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK?
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK (Superettan) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Paskbergsvallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
