Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUMM Salal to win ✗40% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha preview and prediction
The match
The Stars League sees UMM Salal take on Al Ahli Doha on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 15:15 (WAT) at Thani bin Jassim Stadium.
Form guide
UMM Salal's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Al-Rayyan SC 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ahli Doha's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 1–5 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
UMM Salal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Al Ahli Doha 2–4 UMM Salal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for UMM Salal and 1.7 for Al Ahli Doha. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: UMM Salal 40%, draw 22%, Al Ahli Doha 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: UMM Salal 1–1 Al Ahli Doha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UMM Salal40%fair 2.50 · @2.42
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Al Ahli Doha37%fair 2.67 · @2.54
3.47Expected goals
1.77UMM Salal xG
1.70Al Ahli Doha xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: UMM Salal 1.8 – 1.7 Al Ahli Doha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
On our numbers UMM Salal have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Ahli Doha 37%.
How many goals will there be in UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our predicted score is UMM Salal 1–1 Al Ahli Doha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha?
UMM Salal vs Al Ahli Doha (Stars League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Thani bin Jassim Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
