Value bet: Råde to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRåde to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Ørn Horten vs Råde preview and prediction
The match
Ørn Horten host Råde in the 3. Division Girone 6 on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Lystlunden Stadion. Ørn Horten are 7th with 39 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Råde sit 3rd on 46 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ørn Horten's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Lyn II 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Råde's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Brumunddal 14–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Råde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.6 for Ørn Horten and 2.4 for Råde. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ørn Horten 26%, draw 15%, Råde 58%.
Value angle: Råde to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ørn Horten 1–2 Råde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ørn Horten26%fair 3.82 · @2.88
Draw15%fair 6.50 · @4.33
Råde58%fair 1.71 · @1.90
4.03Expected goals
1.58Ørn Horten xG
2.44Råde xG
59%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
1–37%
2–27%
2–15%
2–35%
From our goals model: Ørn Horten 1.6 – 2.4 Råde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Råde to win✗
58%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Råde ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Råde / FT Råde✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Ørn Horten – last 6
LLWWLD
19 Oct
@ Lyn II
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Lillehammer
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Brumunddal
4–0
W
26 Sep
vs Fram
4–2
W
19 Sep
vs Oppsal
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sandefjord II
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Råde – last 6
WWDLDW
17 Oct
vs Brumunddal
14–0
W
12 Oct
@ Sandefjord II
2–0
W
5 Oct
@ Lyn II
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Lillehammer
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ Fram
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Elverum
4–2
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ørn Horten and Råde.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ørn Horten vs Råde?
On our numbers Ørn Horten have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Råde 58%.
How many goals will there be in Ørn Horten vs Råde?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ørn Horten vs Råde?
Our predicted score is Ørn Horten 1–2 Råde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ørn Horten vs Råde?
Ørn Horten vs Råde (3. Division Girone 6) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Lystlunden Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
