Value bet: Sarpsborg 08 II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarpsborg 08 II to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 II preview and prediction
The match
Sarpsborg 08 II travel to face Fram in the 3. Division Girone 6 on Monday 17 August (17:00 WAT). Fram are 12th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Sarpsborg 08 II sit 11th on 32 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fram's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Lyn II 3–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sarpsborg 08 II's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Brumunddal 11–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Sarpsborg 08 II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 II 2–1 Fram.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.6 for Fram and 2.4 for Sarpsborg 08 II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fram 26%, draw 18%, Sarpsborg 08 II 56%.
Value angle: Sarpsborg 08 II to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fram 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fram26%fair 3.84 · @2.60
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.50
Sarpsborg 08 II56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
4.05Expected goals
1.63Fram xG
2.42Sarpsborg 08 II xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
1–37%
2–16%
2–35%
From our goals model: Fram 1.6 – 2.4 Sarpsborg 08 II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
On our numbers Fram have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sarpsborg 08 II 56%.
How many goals will there be in Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
Our predicted score is Fram 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
Fram vs Sarpsborg 08 II (3. Division Girone 6) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
