Value bet: Sarpsborg 08 II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarpsborg 08 II to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.41
Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram preview and prediction
The match
Fram travel to face Sarpsborg 08 II in the 3. Division Girone 6 on Saturday 20 June (13:00 WAT). Sarpsborg 08 II are 11th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Fram sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarpsborg 08 II's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Brumunddal 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Fram's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Lyn II 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sarpsborg 08 II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for Sarpsborg 08 II and 1.5 for Fram. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarpsborg 08 II 61%, draw 17%, Fram 22%.
Value angle: Sarpsborg 08 II to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 II 2–1 Fram. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarpsborg 08 II61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 5.99 · @4.20
Fram22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
3.93Expected goals
2.47Sarpsborg 08 II xG
1.45Fram xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 II 2.5 – 1.5 Fram expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 II to win✓
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Sarpsborg 08 II ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarpsborg 08 II / FT Sarpsborg 08 II✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.41
–
Form
Sarpsborg 08 II – last 6
DLLWLW
13 Jun
@ Brumunddal
3–3
D
30 May
vs Oppsal
0–2
L
26 May
@ Råde
1–6
L
19 May
vs Lyn II
6–3
W
10 May
@ Gjøvik-Lyn
0–1
L
4 May
vs Drøbak Frogn
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fram – last 6
LLWLDL
15 Jun
vs Lyn II
0–1
L
31 May
@ Sandefjord II
0–4
L
25 May
vs Raelingen
5–1
W
14 May
@ Elverum
2–3
L
10 May
vs Ørn Horten
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Gjøvik-Lyn
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 II and Fram.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Fram 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 II 2–1 Fram, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram?
Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram (3. Division Girone 6) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
