Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMadla to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceMadla or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Madla vs Staal Jørpeland preview and prediction
The match
Madla host Staal Jørpeland in the 3. Division Girone 4 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Madla are 1st with 52 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Staal Jørpeland sit 12th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Madla's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Varhaug 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Staal Jørpeland's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Våg 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Madla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 3.0 for Madla and 1.2 for Staal Jørpeland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Madla 2–1 Staal Jørpeland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Madla70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @5.75
Staal Jørpeland9%fair 10.87 · @7.00
4.15Expected goals
2.96Madla xG
1.19Staal Jørpeland xG
54%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Madla 3.0 – 1.2 Staal Jørpeland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madla to win✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Madla or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Madla ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madla / FT Madla✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.16
–
Form
Madla – last 6
WLLWDW
10 Oct
@ Varhaug
3–1
W
4 Oct
vs Brodd
0–1
L
1 Oct
vs Viking
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ Åkra
6–0
W
21 Sep
vs Haugesund II
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Hinna
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Staal Jørpeland – last 6
LWLDWL
10 Oct
vs Våg
0–4
L
2 Oct
@ Hinna
4–2
W
25 Sep
@ Varhaug
2–4
L
21 Sep
vs Viking II
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Brodd
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Mandalskameratene
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madla and Staal Jørpeland.
What is the prediction for Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?
On our numbers Madla have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Staal Jørpeland 9%.
How many goals will there be in Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?
Our predicted score is Madla 2–1 Staal Jørpeland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?
Madla vs Staal Jørpeland (3. Division Girone 4) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
