Value bet: Staal Jørpeland to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStaal Jørpeland to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division Girone 4 sees Staal Jørpeland take on Hinna on Thursday 25 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Staal Jørpeland are 12th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Hinna sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Staal Jørpeland's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Viking II 2–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Hinna's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Brodd 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Staal Jørpeland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for Staal Jørpeland and 1.4 for Hinna. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Staal Jørpeland to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Staal Jørpeland 2–1 Hinna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Staal Jørpeland65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw14%fair 7.31 · @4.20
Hinna22%fair 4.65 · @3.10
4.06Expected goals
2.62Staal Jørpeland xG
1.44Hinna xG
60%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Staal Jørpeland 2.6 – 1.4 Hinna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Staal Jørpeland to win✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Staal Jørpeland ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Staal Jørpeland / FT Staal Jørpeland✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Form
Staal Jørpeland – last 6
LWWLWD
21 Jun
@ Viking II
2–5
L
15 Jun
vs Odd II
5–2
W
30 May
@ Våg
1–0
W
14 May
vs Varhaug
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Haugesund II
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Flekkerøy
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hinna – last 6
DLLLDL
19 Jun
vs Brodd
3–3
D
14 Jun
@ Flekkerøy
3–4
L
29 May
vs Varhaug
0–1
L
25 May
@ Madla
0–3
L
14 May
vs Haugesund II
2–2
D
7 May
@ Åkra
3–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Staal Jørpeland and Hinna.
What is the prediction for Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna?
On our numbers Staal Jørpeland have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Hinna 22%.
How many goals will there be in Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna?
Our predicted score is Staal Jørpeland 2–1 Hinna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna?
Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna (3. Division Girone 4) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.