Value bet: Madla to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMadla to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Haugesund II vs Madla preview and prediction
The match
Madla travel to face Haugesund II in the 3. Division Girone 4 on Monday 22 June (17:00 WAT). Haugesund II are 13th with 28 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Madla sit 1st on 52 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Haugesund II's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Vindbjart 0–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Madla's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Åkra 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Madla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.5 for Haugesund II and 2.6 for Madla. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haugesund II 23%, draw 17%, Madla 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Madla to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Haugesund II 1–2 Madla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haugesund II23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @4.20
Madla60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
4.15Expected goals
1.51Haugesund II xG
2.64Madla xG
71%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
1–16%
2–26%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Haugesund II 1.5 – 2.6 Madla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madla to win✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Madla ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madla / FT Madla✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.05
–
Form
Haugesund II – last 6
LLWDLW
13 Jun
@ Vindbjart
0–4
L
30 May
vs Flekkerøy
3–4
L
26 May
@ Åkra
7–2
W
14 May
@ Hinna
2–2
D
7 May
vs Odd II
1–2
L
2 May
@ Våg
4–2
W
2.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Madla – last 6
WDWDWW
13 Jun
vs Åkra
3–1
W
30 May
@ Vindbjart
2–2
D
25 May
vs Hinna
3–0
W
14 May
@ Odd II
2–2
D
11 May
vs Viking II
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Brodd
4–3
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haugesund II and Madla.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Haugesund II vs Madla?
On our numbers Haugesund II have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Madla 60%.
How many goals will there be in Haugesund II vs Madla?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haugesund II vs Madla?
Our predicted score is Haugesund II 1–2 Madla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Haugesund II vs Madla?
Haugesund II vs Madla (3. Division Girone 4) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
