Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Haugesund II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: Haugesund II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaugesund II to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceHaugesund II or draw ✗79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland preview and prediction
The match
Staal Jørpeland travel to face Haugesund II in the 3. Division Girone 4 on Sunday 12 April (13:00 WAT). Haugesund II are 13th with 28 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Staal Jørpeland sit 12th on 29 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.1 for Haugesund II and 1.3 for Staal Jørpeland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haugesund II 57%, draw 22%, Staal Jørpeland 21%.
Safer route: Haugesund II or draw (79%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Haugesund II to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Haugesund II or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Haugesund II 2–1 Staal Jørpeland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haugesund II57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
Staal Jørpeland21%fair 4.72 · @2.88
3.40Expected goals
2.15Haugesund II xG
1.26Staal Jørpeland xG
54%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Haugesund II 2.1 – 1.3 Staal Jørpeland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haugesund II to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Haugesund II or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Haugesund II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haugesund II / FT Haugesund II✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Haugesund II – last 1
L
7 Apr
@ Viking II
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Staal Jørpeland – last 1
D
6 Apr
vs Flekkerøy
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haugesund II and Staal Jørpeland.
What is the prediction for Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland?
Our pick is Haugesund II or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland?
On our numbers Haugesund II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Staal Jørpeland 21%.
How many goals will there be in Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland?
Our predicted score is Haugesund II 2–1 Staal Jørpeland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland?
Haugesund II vs Staal Jørpeland (3. Division Girone 4) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
