Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 13.19
Gneist vs Førde preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division Girone 3 sees Gneist take on Førde on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Gneist are 13th with 18 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Førde sit 8th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gneist's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Fana 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Førde's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Brann II 7–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 1.7 for Gneist and 2.7 for Førde. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gneist 22%, draw 21%, Førde 57%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Førde to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gneist 1–2 Førde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gneist22%fair 4.48 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Førde57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
4.40Expected goals
1.72Gneist xG
2.68Førde xG
60%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
2–36%
1–16%
2–15%
From our goals model: Gneist 1.7 – 2.7 Førde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Førde to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Half-time result
Førde ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Førde / FT Førde✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.19
–
Form
Gneist – last 6
LWLLLW
8 Aug
@ Fana
0–4
L
1 Aug
vs Vard
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Brann II
0–3
L
27 Jun
@ Djerv
2–6
L
20 Jun
vs Askøy
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ Varegg
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Førde – last 6
WDDLWL
8 Aug
vs Brann II
7–0
W
3 Aug
@ Sogndal II
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Austevoll
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Askøy
0–2
L
22 Jun
vs Åsane II
4–0
W
13 Jun
vs Vard
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gneist and Førde.
Our pick is Førde to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Gneist vs Førde?
On our numbers Gneist have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Førde 57%.
How many goals will there be in Gneist vs Førde?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gneist vs Førde?
Our predicted score is Gneist 1–2 Førde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Gneist vs Førde?
Gneist vs Førde (3. Division Girone 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
