Value bet: Spjelkavik to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpjelkavik to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Nardo vs Spjelkavik preview and prediction
The match
Nardo host Spjelkavik in the 3. Division Girone 2 on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Nardo are 7th with 33 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Spjelkavik sit 8th on 32 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nardo's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Melhus 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Spjelkavik's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Molde II 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Spjelkavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Spjelkavik 4–2 Nardo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.4 for Nardo and 2.4 for Spjelkavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nardo 24%, draw 14%, Spjelkavik 62%.
Value angle: Spjelkavik to win at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Nardo 1–2 Spjelkavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nardo24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Draw14%fair 7.32 · @4.20
Spjelkavik62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
3.79Expected goals
1.39Nardo xG
2.40Spjelkavik xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–26%
2–26%
0–15%
From our goals model: Nardo 1.4 – 2.4 Spjelkavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nardo vs Spjelkavik?
On our numbers Nardo have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Spjelkavik 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nardo vs Spjelkavik?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nardo vs Spjelkavik?
Our predicted score is Nardo 1–2 Spjelkavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nardo vs Spjelkavik?
Nardo vs Spjelkavik (3. Division Girone 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
