Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Molde II to win @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde II to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.27
Molde II vs Aalesund II preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division Girone 2 sees Molde II take on Aalesund II on Monday 7 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Molde II are 5th with 38 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Aalesund II sit 13th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Molde II's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Spjelkavik 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game.
Aalesund II's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Kvik Trondheim 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Molde II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Aalesund II 0–6 Molde II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 3.0 for Molde II and 1.7 for Aalesund II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molde II 65%, draw 15%, Aalesund II 20%.
Value angle: Molde II to win at 1.65 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Molde II 2–1 Aalesund II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde II65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw15%fair 6.58 · @4.75
Aalesund II20%fair 4.95 · @3.30
4.68Expected goals
2.99Molde II xG
1.69Aalesund II xG
63%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
4–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: Molde II 3.0 – 1.7 Aalesund II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Molde II vs Aalesund II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Molde II vs Aalesund II?
On our numbers Molde II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Aalesund II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Molde II vs Aalesund II?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde II vs Aalesund II?
Our predicted score is Molde II 2–1 Aalesund II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Molde II vs Aalesund II?
Molde II vs Aalesund II (3. Division Girone 2) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
