Value bet: Ullern to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUllern to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Ullern vs Nordstrand preview and prediction
The match
Nordstrand travel to face Ullern in the 3. Division Girone 1 on Saturday 24 October (12:00 WAT). Ullern are 12th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Nordstrand sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ullern's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Bærum 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nordstrand's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Heming 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for Ullern and 1.5 for Nordstrand. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Ullern to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ullern 2–1 Nordstrand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ullern62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw13%fair 7.61 · @4.50
Nordstrand25%fair 4.03 · @2.88
4.05Expected goals
2.52Ullern xG
1.52Nordstrand xG
60%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Ullern 2.5 – 1.5 Nordstrand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ullern to win✓
62%
1.61
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Ullern ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ullern / FT Ullern✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Ullern – last 6
LLWLWL
17 Oct
@ Bærum
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs SF Grei
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ KFUM II
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Heming
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Vålerenga II
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ IF Ready
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nordstrand – last 6
LLLLWD
17 Oct
vs Heming
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Gamle Oslo
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Vålerenga II
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ Asker
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Oslo
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Union Carl Berner
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ullern and Nordstrand.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ullern vs Nordstrand?
On our numbers Ullern have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Nordstrand 25%.
How many goals will there be in Ullern vs Nordstrand?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ullern vs Nordstrand?
Our predicted score is Ullern 2–1 Nordstrand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ullern vs Nordstrand?
Ullern vs Nordstrand (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
