Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Bærum to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBærum to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.96
Bærum vs Ullern preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division Girone 1 sees Bærum take on Ullern on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Bærum are 5th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Ullern sit 12th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Bærum's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Asker 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Ullern's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to SF Grei 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Ullern arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Ullern 0–3 Bærum.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 2.7 for Bærum and 1.7 for Ullern. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bærum 63%, draw 13%, Ullern 25%.
Value angle: Bærum to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Bærum 2–1 Ullern. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bærum63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw13%fair 7.99 · @4.50
Ullern25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
4.37Expected goals
2.72Bærum xG
1.65Ullern xG
59%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: Bærum 2.7 – 1.7 Ullern expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bærum vs Ullern?
On our numbers Bærum have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ullern 25%.
How many goals will there be in Bærum vs Ullern?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bærum vs Ullern?
Our predicted score is Bærum 2–1 Ullern, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Bærum vs Ullern?
Bærum vs Ullern (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
