Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vålerenga II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVålerenga II to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.09
Vålerenga II vs Frigg preview and prediction
The match
Frigg travel to Intility Arena in the 3. Division Girone 1 on Saturday 10 October (13:00 WAT) to face Vålerenga II. Vålerenga II are 6th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Frigg sit 8th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Vålerenga II's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Nordstrand 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Frigg's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Gamle Oslo 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Vålerenga II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 2.7 for Vålerenga II and 1.7 for Frigg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vålerenga II 56%, draw 21%, Frigg 22%.
Value angle: Vålerenga II to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vålerenga II 2–1 Frigg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vålerenga II56%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.33
Frigg22%fair 4.51 · @2.62
4.38Expected goals
2.66Vålerenga II xG
1.71Frigg xG
59%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
3–26%
1–16%
1–25%
From our goals model: Vålerenga II 2.7 – 1.7 Frigg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vålerenga II to win✓
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Vålerenga II ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vålerenga II / FT Vålerenga II✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.09
–
Form
Vålerenga II – last 6
WWLWWL
3 Oct
@ Nordstrand
3–0
W
26 Sep
vs Bærum
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Ullern
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Gamle Oslo
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Konnerud
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Heming
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Frigg – last 6
DLWLWL
3 Oct
vs Gamle Oslo
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Union Carl Berner
2–6
L
19 Sep
vs Konnerud
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Heming
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs IF Ready
5–2
W
22 Aug
vs Kjelsås
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vålerenga II and Frigg.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vålerenga II vs Frigg?
On our numbers Vålerenga II have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Frigg 22%.
How many goals will there be in Vålerenga II vs Frigg?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vålerenga II vs Frigg?
Our predicted score is Vålerenga II 2–1 Frigg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Vålerenga II vs Frigg?
Vålerenga II vs Frigg (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.