Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBærum to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.59
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.59
Vålerenga II vs Bærum preview and prediction
The match
Vålerenga II host Bærum in the 3. Division Girone 1 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Intility Arena. Vålerenga II are 6th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Bærum sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vålerenga II's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Ullern 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Bærum's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Union Carl Berner 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Bærum 6–3 Vålerenga II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 1.8 for Vålerenga II and 2.9 for Bærum. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vålerenga II 24%, draw 13%, Bærum 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bærum to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vålerenga II 1–2 Bærum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vålerenga II24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Draw13%fair 7.60 · @4.50
Bærum63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
4.71Expected goals
1.80Vålerenga II xG
2.91Bærum xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: Vålerenga II 1.8 – 2.9 Bærum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bærum to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
On our numbers Vålerenga II have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Bærum 63%.
How many goals will there be in Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
Our predicted score is Vålerenga II 1–2 Bærum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
Vålerenga II vs Bærum (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
